Archive for April, 2009

ESPN:

Hooker, a seventh-round pick in the 2007 amateur draft, was slated to be in Quad Cities rotation this season.

“We’re disappointed,” Cardinals general manager John Mozeliak said. “How he deals with it will be a big test for him.”

That’s an awfully PC response, which is what you’d expect at this stage in the game.  Keep an eye out for more comments by the front office.

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Here are ours-

erik

Cardinal Rookie of the Year: Jason Motte
Minor League Player of the Year: Brett Wallace
Minor League Pitcher of the Year: Lance Lynn
2009 1st round pick: I’m not liking the way this class is shaping up really. I’ll cheat and pick 2. A.J. Pollock CF/IF, Notre Dame or Mike Leake, rhp, Arizona St.
Breakout Hitter: Tommy Pham
Breakout Pitcher: Adam Ottavino
2010 Top 5 Prospects: 1. Brett Wallace 2. Daryl Jones 3. 1st rd. pick 4. Jon Jay 5. Niko Vasquez
This year I’m most excited to see…the Walrus show he is a man among boys.

azruavatar

Cardinal Rookie of the Year: Colby Rasmus
Minor League Player of the Year: Brett Wallace
Minor League Pitcher of the Year: Clayton Mortensen
Breakout Hitter: Tyler Henley
Breakout Pitcher: Lance Lynn
2010 Top 5 Prospects: 1. Brett Wallace 2. Daryl Jones 3. Anderson 4. Allen Craig 5. Pete Kozma
This year I’m most excited to see..Whether the Cardinals minor league pitchers develop

Jeff Roman

Cardinal Rookie of the Year: Freese – Because he is going to play every day at the start of the season to cement his place in the team.
Minor League Player of the Year: Curt Smith – He is hot in the spring and he will continue to swing a hot bat.
Minor League Pitcher of the Year: Adam Ottavino – He will take his success with team Italy and finally live up to his potential.
Breakout Hitter: D’Marcus Ingram – Just like Daryl Jones in 2008, this toolsy hitter will put it all together.
Breakout Pitcher: Sam Freeman – He’ll make the jump all the way up to AAA by the end of the year with fabulous numbers.
Top 5 Prospects will be…: Brett Wallace, Daryl Jones, Bryan Anderson, Peter Kozma, Adam Ottavino
This Year I’m Most Excited to See: (I’m going to cheat here) I’m most excited to watch Jason Motte and his 100 MPH fastball every day with the big club. I’m also most excited to follow (watch) Roberto De La Cruz and see how he does in pro ball this year as he’s the Cards biggest splash in Central America/South America and the Caribbean. The Cardinals success in this region will have a huge impact on how well their farm club is stocked over the next 5 years.

Picklefork

Cardinal Rookie of the Year: Jason Motte
Minor League Player of the Year: Daryl Jones
Minor League Pitcher of the Year: Lance Lynn
Breakout Hitter: Shane Peterson
Breakout Pitcher: David Kopp
1st round pick: Mike Leake, rhp, Arizona State
2010 Top 5 Prospects will be…1 B.Wallace/D.Jones/B.Anderson/J.Todd/P.Kozma
This season I am most excited to see: If Pete Kozma is Jack Wilson or Michael Young.

roarke

Cardinal ROY – Rasmus (It’s the obvious choice, but I can’t change what I think just to be unconventional)
Minor League POY – Brett Wallace (again, obvious, but I really think he’s gong to be a monster)
Minor League PiOY – Clayton Mortensen
Breakout Hitter – Aaron Luna
Breakout Pitcher – Anthony Ferrara
1st Round Pick – Brooks Raley, lhp, Texas A&M (pretty random – I don’t have any logic behind this guess)
2010 top 5 Prospects – 1. Brett Wallace 2. Daryl Jones 3. #1 pick 4. Clayton Mortensen 5. Niko Vasquez
I am most excited to see: the progression of Niko Vazquez

HL
Cardinal Rookie of the Year: Jason Motte (technicality)
Minor League Player of the Year: Brett Wallace
Minor League Pitcher of the Year: P.J. Walters (assuming Boggs gets called up)
Breakout Hitter: Tommy Pham
Breakout Pitcher: Deryk Hooker
2010 Top 5 Prospects will be…Brett Wallace, Daryl Jones, Jess Todd, Jamie Garcia, Niko Vasquez
This season I am most excited to see: Where our SS tandem ends up, Kozma/Vazquez. I’m interested in seeing who takes the inside track to replacing Greene/stop gap after next year.

Dustin Mattison

Cardinal Rookie of the Year: Colby Rasmus
Minor League Player of the Year: Brett Wallace
Minor League Pitcher of the Year: Adam Reifer
Breakout Hitter: Tommy Pham
Breakout Pitcher: Thomas Eager
1st round pick: Mike Leake, rhp, Arizona State.
2010 Top 5 Prospects will be… Wallace, Jones, Reifer, Kozma, Mortensen
This season I am most excited to see: What the Cardinals do in the June draft. While the system does have more depth, it has very little impact talent especially on the pitching side.

Alex Fritz

Cardinal Rookie of the Year: Jason Motte
Minor League Player of the Year: Jon Jay
Minor League Pitcher of the Year: Mitchell Boggs
Breakout Hitter: Wallace (yes, he pretty much has already broke out, but I expect some unrealistic video game numbers)
Breakout Pitcher: Salas
2010 Top 5 Prospects will be… Jones, Jay, Wallace, Craig, Anderson
This season I am most excited to see: Aside from The Colby Rasmus Era, the AAA outfield is really exciting.

fewgoodcards

Cardinal Rookie of the Year: Jason Motte
Minor League Player of the Year: Brett Wallace
Minor League Pitcher of the Year: Adam Reifer
2009 1st round pick: Alex Wilson, RHP, Texas A&M
Breakout Hitter: Roberto De la Cruz
Breakout Pitcher: Adam Ottavino
2010 Top 5 Prospects: 1. Brett Wallace 2. Daryl Jones 3. Adam Ottavino 4. Roberto De la Cruz 5. Adam Reifer
This year I’m most excited to see: Brett Wallace and Daryl Jones mash their way through Springfield and up to Memphis.

the red baaron

Minors player of year: Senor Walrus
Pitcher of Year: Adam Reifer
Breakout player: Tommy Pham
Breakout Pitcher: Anthony Ferrara
Draft pick: Mike Minor, LHP, Vandy
Wallace, Daryl Jones, Reifer, Niko Vasquez, Ferrara

How ’bout yours?

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Q and A with Jeff Luhnow.

Very forthcoming on a number of issues, and I love how accessible the front office has been with the fans.

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Jason Motte has been a hot topic of discussion amongst Cardinals fans lately and with good reason, as he used a sensational spring training performance to beat out Chris Perez for the team’s role of closer. Opinions are fairly a split on Motte and I’m sure his four-run blown save in his first appearance as the team’s closer has intensified things a bit.

Mostly a one-pitch pitcher, there are some that feel Motte won’t be able to translate his minor league success to the major league level because you need more than one pitch to succeed in the majors, no matter how good that pitch is — and that pitch is really good: an upper 90′s fastball that explodes out of his hand. It’s straight as an arrow, but it’s sneaky and gets on hitters quick because he short-arms the ball, which dates back to his days as a catcher. When he’s able to command the pitch, it’s virtually unhittable.

Motte’s No. 2 pitch is a fringy slider that he’s able to use when hitters start cheating on his fastball or when he wants to throw off a hitter’s balance at the plate. By the way, I know there are some that suggested he develop a splitter partly because it would be easier for him to maintain a more consistent arm slot and I agree with that completely.

Now, I’m not here to give a traditional scouting report on Motte. That’s been done before by Azruavatar and you can read both of those excellent reports by clicking here and clicking here. You can also read Erik’s rundown of Motte’s pitch f/x data by clicking here.

I’m going to actually take a deeper look at Motte’s mechanics — how he generates his velocity and what changes he’s made between this year and last that I think has helped improve his overall command. My hope is that everybody will take away some knowledge about the velocity generating process and some of the more subtle changes a pitcher can make to improve themselves.

The big change Motte made this season was that he simplified his wind-up by lowering his hands and centering everything closer to his core. The 2008 version is on the top and the 2009 Motte is on the bottom:

jason-motte-2008jason-motte-2009

This year, Motte is in a more athletic, more compact position. Instead of bringing his hands up by his head, he brings them closer to his upper chest area. This change took place partly because of the timing difference between Motte’s high leg kick from 2008 and his smaller leg kick in 2009.

Motte pauses once his knee reaches the pinnacle of its lift before punching the glove, which acts as his timing mechanics to unleash all hell. The difference between the two versions is that the 2008 version pauses for a longer period of time, while the 2009 version gets going much more quickly. This results in a wind-up with better flow — much smoother than before and without any pauses that have the potential to throw off his timing.

Now let’s talk velocity…Motte is obviously blessed with tremendous arm speed and the genetics to throw hard. But he’s also extremely efficient from a velocity standpoint and his arm action is excellent. He lets the elbow pick up the ball, meaning no hook in the wrist, like you see with Rich Harden. He also efficiently loads the scapula, which I’ll try to explain below:

The loading of the scapula is the pinching of the shoulder blades together. The arm is loaded horizontally rather than straight back toward second base. Might it put more stress on the shoulder? Perhaps…but it’s an essential component of velocity.

jason-motte-mechanicsjason-motte-scap-load

Watch how Motte’s chest sorta puffs out in the clips above…this is a symptom of the shoulder blades pinching together. Also take note of Motte’s hip/torso separation. I pause the graphic at the key frame. The belt buckle is pointed toward home plate, while the torso is facing the third base direction. Just before his front foot lands, the hips start to rotate and the torso is subsequently unloaded, bringing the arm with it.

The arm’s power is generated from the torso unloading. There is a kinetic chain of events and to generate the kind of velocity Motte does, you have to have a precisely efficient kinetic chain. It’s also important to throw with intent, which Motte certainly does.

One thing I quibble with are Motte’s front side mechanics. The glove generally should be kept firm out in front of the chest. While Motte does firm up to keep his front shoulder from flying open, he leaves the glove down by his side when it ideally should be left out in front of the chest. There are numerous reasons for why it should be kept firm out in front of the chest — lower injury risk, better control, more consistent release point, and better command of one’s breaking pitches to name a few.

Final Thoughts

Nobody should overreact to Motte’s Monday debacle. One game doesn’t make a player. Consider how dominant he was last season at the MLB level even though his dominance occurred in a limited amount of innings.

The jury’s still out on whether he’s a closer-level reliever. That’s probably a best case outcome unless he can develop a consistent secondary pitch that he can go to when the command of his fastball deserts him. Can he make it happen? Only time will tell.

This article is apart of Baseball-Intellect’s Cardinals top prospect list, which you can read below:

Prospects 1 – 5
Prospects 6 – 15

Alex breaks down major and minor league players by using sabermetric and video analysis at the website Baseball Intellect. He’s also done regular work for the Hardball Times and Baseball Digest Daily. You can contact him at baseballintellect@gmail.com

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We don’t have any minor league games yet but the minor league press machines are starting up.  In place of a DFR, here’s a link dump for this morning.

PS – This isn’t a place to vent about last night’s game.  Those comments can be made at VEB or not at all.  They will get screened out.

PPS – There’s an exciting post in the works.  It’s a topic that I think is still controversial but it’s well written and should generate some interesting discussion.

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I’ve been talking about TotalZone and prospects the past week at BtB. (Way more often than I had planned, I’ve had way too much extra free time lately. I’ll get a job eventually, right!? Right???)

We’ve talked about some of the leaders and laggards with TotalZone before, but I thought I’d throw together this handy-dandy chart together before the season starts.

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Steve Batterson offers some insight into the Quad Cities roster. There’s some interesting names there including Niko Vazquez, Osvaldo Morales, Aaron Luna, Jon Edwards, Deryk Hooker and Scott McGregor. There’s also players like Gary Daley — you win some you lose some. And something that makes our evaluations a lot more difficult:

Quad-Cities will continue to use the tandem-starter system with its pitchers early in the season and expects to open with 13 pitchers on the roster.

Ben Badler has a scouting report of Amaury Castillo from the Dominican League

Castillo has a power arm that delivers low-90s fastballs out of a high three-quarters arm slot, with enough projection to potentially throw in the mid-90s down the road. [...] Castillo has a breaking ball that he’ll need to improve to become a reliable second pitch, and though he has a changeup, he didn’t show the pitch much last year.

This is the last Vuch Report so enjoy the thoroughness. We’ve got a hockey record tonight as the farm goes 1-1-1. Aside: How bout them Blues? I’m almost a bandwagon hockey fan. On with the baseball!

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Colby Rasmus (photo by Dustin Mattison)

Colby Rasmus (photo by Dustin Mattison)

Before I get into my column today, I wanted to introduce myself. My name is Dustin Mattison and you may have read my work at a variety of places. You will find most of my work over at the Birdhouse where I cover the minor leagues along with some major league work. Since joining the Scout.com network, I have had the opportunity to meet and interview quite a few of the minor leaguers we all love to talk about at places such as Future Redbirds.

Some of you may remember that one of my question and answer sessions caused quite a bit of stir back in early December. It was a piece I did with Mark Worrell the day before he was sent to San Diego for Khalil Greene.

I got my start at my blog, Whiteyball. The site is up and running again thanks to a good group of guys who take their Cardinal baseball very seriously.

During the summer, if my children, Anna and Zac, are not playing, you will hopefully find me in a minor league park somewhere. My first trip is already planned; I will be in Springfield during the team’s opening weekend. (Writer’s note: Luckily my wife Christina is tolerant and has developed a love for the minor league game as well.) But enough about me, let’s talk some baseball.

I know that this is a prospect site but I feel the make up of the opening day roster is pertinent to what is discussed hear on a daily basis. With the news of Joe Mather being sent to Triple-A Memphis, the St. Louis Cardinals now have 25 players on its roster. Unless there are some unforeseen changes, this is the team that will take on the Pittsburgh Pirates on Monday.
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Removed

Today was like the last day of school. That epic daily battle of Yahoo! Pool you and five of your friends have been locked in all year on the Dutch Yahoo site (as to avoid the school’s content blocker) just isn’t the same since 3 of the guys already took their summer vacation a day early. Plus, everyone is eating cookies in the cafeteria and generally wandering aimlessly through the building. Memphis was those 3 friends today.
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