The draft is now only 2 weeks from tomorrow, and you will soon be getting a chance to see a lot more potential picks on tv as the NCAA regionals and super regionals get underway the next 2 weekends. This draft is still very fluid, even more so than recent years, but I thought it would still be fun to get some kind of mock down to just get an idea of how the board might shake out. Of course anything this early is likely to be way off, but I think there is some concensus starting to form of who the top 10 players or so are in this draft. However, after you get through those players, teams could start pulling some real stunners. With this mock I just went down to the Cardinals’ pick, check out my best guess on who we will take after the jump.
1. Nationals-Stephen Strasburg, RHP, San Diego St.
It will cost a fortune, but even the Nationals can’t screw this one up.
2. Mariners-Dustin Ackley, 1B/OF, North Carolina
The Mariners have loaded up on pitching in recent drafts, but this year they will go with the best available bat.
3. Padres-Kyle Gibson, RHP, Missouri
The Padres are known for reaching to save money. Gibson is a good pitcher, but he isn’t the second best pitcher in the draft. However, he might be willing to take a little below slot.
4. Pirates-Alex White, RHP, North Carolina
The Pirates are in need of talent all over the field, and White may be the best prospect still on the board.
5. Orioles-Tanner Scheppers, RHP, St. Paul
High ceiling righty would add another great arm to the stable the O’s are putting together.
6. Giants-Tyler Matzek, LHP, California HS
The Giants had great success with a couple of high school hurlers in 2007 when they drafted Madison Bumgarner and Tim Alderson. They could look to go that way again if the top prep pitcher is still on the board.
7. Braves-Donovan Tate, CF, Georgia HS
Everyone knows the Braves love local talent, and Tate could be the best athlete in the draft.
8. Reds-Aaron Crow, RHP, Fort Worth
Supposedly the Reds were close to pulling the trigger on Crow last year. I doubt they would pass on him again.
9. Tigers-Jacob Turner, RHP, Missouri HS
The Tigers aren’t afraid to spend big money in the draft, so they likely won’t hesitate to meet the big demands of Turner.
10. Nationals-Mike Leake, RHP, Arizona St.
Leake has been arguably the 2nd best pitcher in college baseball this year. The Nationals would love to add another fast mover to go along with Strasburg.
11. Rockies-Zack Wheeler, RHP, Georgia HS
Wheeler is a big, projectable righty with 3 plus pitches and good control.
12. Royals-Matt Purke, LHP, Texas HS
The Royals are another team that has shown they will take the best available player. Purke might have the best stuff out of any high school pitcher.
13. Athletics-Rex Brothers, LHP, Lipscomb
Billy Beane likes college players, and has had good success with collegiate lefties. Brothers is probably the top college lefty in the draft.
14. Rangers-Shelby Miller, RHP, Texas HS
The Rangers would be thrilled if this Texas fireballer makes it to them.
15. Indians-Tim Wheeler, OF, Sacramento St.
Wheeler is one of the few collegiate position players that is a legit first round pick this year.
16. Diamondbacks-Andrew Oliver, LHP, Oklahoma St.
Oliver has had a down year, but he has a history of success and plus stuff from the left side.
17. Diamondbacks-Rich Poythress, 1B, Georgia
Poythress has a big time bat, but he is limited defensively. He is probably a little bit of a reach at this point, but the D-backs may be looking to save a little money.
18. Marlins-Chad James, LHP, Oklahoma HS
The Marlins love prep pitchers, especially ones who can throw 95 from the left side.
19. Cardinals-Eric Arnett, RHP, Indiana
Arnett is the kind of big college righthander with plus stuff that the Cardinals love. Luhnow has also shown that he will go off the board of what many people think will happen, and you could say that this would be a bit of a reach. They have also shown that they will pass on guys who fall because of some questions about signability, and that is the case in this mock as I have them passing on Grant Green who was once considered a top 5 pick.