Callis has the Cardinals taking Matt Purke in his latest and last mock draft. Last year he accurately predicted the Cardinals taking Brett Wallace, a notion I internally dismissed. Callis admits to his pick for the Cardinals as random guesswork.

Keith Law then says today -

One potential destination for one of the high-ceiling high school arms is St. Louis, who are particularly high on Matt Purke.

And we also have Kevin Goldstein, in his latest mock putting the Cardinals down for Purke, confirming the wild rumor out there -

…the crazy whispers involve them acting like the big-market team they technically are and making a splash with a signability pick. Matt Purke can’t drop forever… or can he?

So I think it’s time to seriously think about Matt Purke.

Here’s some scouting info on the  projectable Texas lefty.

BA:


Purke rivals Tyler Matzek as the best lefthanded pitching prospect in this draft. He already throws a 92-95 mph fastball and could throw harder as he adds strength to his 6-foot-3, 180-pound frame. He backs up his heater with a hard slider that ranks among the best in the prep draft class. He doesn’t have much experience throwing a changeup because he hasn’t needed one. Last summer, Purke needed just nine pitches to work a perfect inning at the Aflac All-American Game and started the gold-medal game for Team USA at the World Junior Championship in Canada (albeit taking a 7-0 loss against Korea). Matzek has moved ahead of Purke for most clubs because he works with less effort. Purke throws from a low three-quarters angle that adds life and deception, but he has slinging action in his delivery. It’s not violent, but it’s not smooth either.

Here’s a link to his draft report on MLB.com.

Mayo:

When conversations arise about the top prep lefties in the class, Purke is on the short list. With three excellent offerings and command of them, to go along with a projectable frame, Purke’s name comes up early and often. There might be a small concern about his durabilty because he’s a little too slender, but that won’t be enough to keep him from being taken high up on Draft day.

Alex Eisenberg also gave a good review of Purke, but noted some of my concerns with his mechanics.

Some positives and negatives with Purke mechanically….his arm action is very loose and whip-like — very tension free. He breaks his hands late, which speeds up his arm as it tries to catch up with the rest of his body. A late hand break can benefit a pitcher’s velocity and make it tougher to pick up the ball out of his hand.

The tradeoff to that deception and extra arm speed is that it might add a little more stress to the shoulder. In addition, Purke doesn’t incorporate his lower body all that much into his delivery, forcing his arm to do much of the work. Pitchers who have a busier lower body also tend to have their breaking stuff play-up because hitters react to that lower body movement and gear up for something hard.

With that said, Purke’s delivery is simple and repeatable. He also has sound front-side mechanics that will help limit the pounding his shoulder takes.

Here’s an excellent video of him pitching, with some slow-mos of his mechanics.

I’ll leave the rest of my qualms to myself for now and see what they actually do with the pick. For those you banging the gong for a high-upside, high school starter, this could be your day. I wouldn’t get your hopes up, with Purke said to be seeking a “Porcello-like” contract, and coupled with the fact that he’s not quite in Porcello’s class makes me wonder how serious the Cardinals really are.

27 Responses to “Matt Purke Mania”
  1. AP5 says:

    Honestly, I’d be extremelye ecstatic to see the Cardinals take him in the draft today. He’s #1 on my board as for potential picks with Chad James and the Hobgood kid.

  2. JC says:

    Like I said….I am extremely high on this kid and I would personally put him as the #1 target on my board of realistic options at #19. If your looking for a boost from our pitiful play on the field lately this sure would make many fans jump for joy! Go Cards!

  3. picklefork says:

    There is risk in every pick, ranging from upside to injury and a handful of other things that can happen to a person, since we arent machines.

    That being said, when you look at Purke you think #1 potential, #1 stuff, #1 makeup on the mound and the fact he is LHP makes those things even more valuable.

    I know there is risk of injury, but to me that is the same type of risk of Rex Brothers never figuring out a 3rd pitch or Mike Minor never figuring out how to be anything more then a #5 SP.

    You gamble b.c the end reward can pay benefits to your org for a decade.

    Some might say well if he busts then where is all the upside…after seeing Ottavino and Lambert…just b/c your HS’er doesnt mean your not risky too.

    Its all a risk, its not an exact science…so why not take the best case scenario kid and rely on your coaches to maximize your investment!

  4. BigJawnMize says:

    Someone feed this kid a sammich or like a half a cow…my gawd he is skinny.

  5. jjray says:

    Funny thing is, LaRussa agitating through Strauss about the lack of impact players in the system might help to push the organization to pay big $$$s for Purke (should he fall to us). Can you imagine the outcry if we pass on Purke?

  6. Mookie says:

    Anyone think Scheppers is a possibility?

  7. JPBFrog says:

    Now Klaw has us taking Randall Grichuk in the 1st and he isnt even on Klaw’s top 100 list.

  8. BigJawnMize says:

    Heck, I actually think crow or scheppers mya be a possiblity in the second round…at the rate they are dropping becasue of demands who knows? Thats 40+ picks between our first rounder and second round. You would think someone would take a chance on them.

  9. I still hope they pick Grant Green if he falls.

  10. Alex says:

    I’m hoping for Grant Green as well.

    But now that Purke has been rumored, whoever the Cardinals actually choose will be perceived as a low-budget “safe” pick by whiny fans.

  11. BigJawnMize says:

    You know the more I look at it…this is actually solid draft. It only has a couple star players at top, but there are a lot of guys up and down that I think have a good shot of being major league contribitors.

  12. t7rick says:

    If Scheppers falls to 19 I think he would be the best choice over Purke and the rest. He is apparently healthy and was hitting 98-99 in his last outing (albeit on 9 days rest) according to BA.

  13. JC says:

    KLaw is reporting that the Pirates have just got a predraft deal done for Tony Sanchez (C for BC) with their #4 pick…..in case anyone cares :)

    Looks at though Pirates are going cheap again as Sanchez is clearly not a Top 5 talent in the draft.

  14. nycbirdo says:

    callis also has grant green slipping through the 1st round. ouch. i wouldn’t be at all upset if the cards got him at 19.

  15. theredbaaron says:

    JC,

    You have got to be kidding. Please tell me the Pirates aren’t really going to take Sanchez. Not that I care, but in my mock draft yesterday I actually had them taking him, then decided it was just too crazy, even for the Pirates, and switched to Minor. I would have looked like a genius! This can’t be true, this can’t be true, this can’t be true…

  16. JC says:

    theredbaaron – Yep Yep….craziness really. All the talk of them taking Sanchez and I was like…no way. I really thought Crow would be their guy….advanced pitcher with high upside and could move fairly quickly. But what do I know :)

  17. Jeff Roman says:

    Now if the Cards don’t take Purke, there will be great mashing of teeth in Cardinal Land.

    • azruavatar says:

      If the Cardinals take a safe pick, there will be gnashing of teeth. This club doesn’t need safe picks right now, they need upside and potential. It doesn’t HAVE to be Purke but it can’t be another easy sign low upside guy — even I’ll rail at that.

  18. HL says:

    Internally dismissed it?

    That must have been messy.

  19. theredbaaron says:

    Listen to the smart robut! We need some upside this year, so if it’s Chad Jenkins, then yes, I will be upset.

  20. Shanky says:

    Purke, Scheppers, Crow. . .those are the high-upside picks if the Cards want to truly make a splash. I’d also be happy C. James, S. Miller, G. Green, M. Davidson or Borchering. But the Cards simply CANNOT go cheap again and take a considerably lower-ceiling guy just because he’d take slot. We need franchise players, not organizational filler.

  21. HL says:

    The only thing that worries me about Purke is that 92 mph number. Not because 92 mph is bad but because how many times have the Cards been burned by the reporting of a kids velocity being XX-XXX number with the real ceiling being XX?

  22. erik says:

    i won’t get to rail at mike minor, the braves apparently are taking him 7th overall. The high school oriented, upside Braves.

  23. Andrew says:

    I think the possibility of Purke will resurface next draft. He’s a draft eligible sophmore. His freshman year he’s 14-0 with a low 3 era. He’s come up real big beating Texas and then FSU in the first game of the CWS.

  24. cariocacardinal says:

    Really digging through those archives there, Andrew!

    IF eligible, Purke will probably be the #1 pick unless he wants too much $$. Not sure how much is too much though if some team thinks he can be Strasbourg light with a quick jump to the majors.

  25. Andrew says:

    I was just researching Porcello and Purke on here. Kind of prompted by Purke’s success this year. Reardon is still projected as the number 1 pick next year. I don’t see how Purkes situation would be any different next year than it was before. As a draft eligible sophomore he is still able to ask for the moon and stay in school if he doesn’t get it. He wanted what Porcello got a Major League contract, spot on the 40 man roster and 7.5 mil. The Rangers negotited it down to 6mil but the Commissoner wouldn’t approve it because MLB was essentially paying for the Rangers as they were nearing bankruptcy. Same leverage the only difference I see is that teams now see he can be an effective college pitcher and thus there is less risk of him being a complete bust.

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