Comments on: CHONE 2010 Future Redbirds Hitters http://www.futureredbirds.net/2009/12/28/chone-2010-future-redbirds-hitters/ Baseball's Future in the Gateway City Thu, 09 Feb 2012 22:26:04 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: azruavatar http://www.futureredbirds.net/2009/12/28/chone-2010-future-redbirds-hitters/comment-page-1/#comment-14030 azruavatar Tue, 29 Dec 2009 18:45:34 +0000 http://www.futureredbirds.net/?p=4460#comment-14030 roughly, yes. roughly, yes.

]]> By: cariocacardinal http://www.futureredbirds.net/2009/12/28/chone-2010-future-redbirds-hitters/comment-page-1/#comment-14029 cariocacardinal Tue, 29 Dec 2009 17:48:48 +0000 http://www.futureredbirds.net/?p=4460#comment-14029 With my limited knowledge - some observations. Interesting that Hoff gives you higher WAR than Descalso and not far off Skip. They actually rate Hoff better offensively than Skip. Buckman and Brito were cut early in the season. Little things like that take away from credibility. For those worried about Freese due to the DWI, Gotay gives you similar WAR w/o the character concern. Not sure what it says when Antonio Dejesus projects to a higher WAR than Daryl Jones. With my limited knowledge – some observations.

Interesting that Hoff gives you higher WAR than Descalso and not far off Skip. They actually rate Hoff better offensively than Skip.

Buckman and Brito were cut early in the season. Little things like that take away from credibility.

For those worried about Freese due to the DWI, Gotay gives you similar WAR w/o the character concern.

Not sure what it says when Antonio Dejesus projects to a higher WAR than Daryl Jones.

]]> By: cariocacardinal http://www.futureredbirds.net/2009/12/28/chone-2010-future-redbirds-hitters/comment-page-1/#comment-14028 cariocacardinal Tue, 29 Dec 2009 17:38:00 +0000 http://www.futureredbirds.net/?p=4460#comment-14028 Thanks Az. From doing calculations here and other reading I gather 1 WAR = 10 Runs? Thanks Az. From doing calculations here and other reading I gather 1 WAR = 10 Runs?

]]> By: azruavatar http://www.futureredbirds.net/2009/12/28/chone-2010-future-redbirds-hitters/comment-page-1/#comment-14027 azruavatar Tue, 29 Dec 2009 17:17:42 +0000 http://www.futureredbirds.net/?p=4460#comment-14027 BaseballProjection provides an offensive (R/150) and a defensive (Def) value. Add those together plus the appropriate positional adjustment and replacement value (+20 runs). All WAR above are based on a full season, pro-rate for health and playing time as you deem appropriate. Also, there's likely some quibbling regarding the replacement value since we are in the NL but I'm still on the fence about that alleged disparity. Positional Adjustment: C: +10 runs SS: +7.5 runs 2B/3B/CF: +2.5 runs LF/RF: -7.5 runs 1B: -12.5 runs DH: -15 runs BaseballProjection provides an offensive (R/150) and a defensive (Def) value. Add those together plus the appropriate positional adjustment and replacement value (+20 runs).

All WAR above are based on a full season, pro-rate for health and playing time as you deem appropriate. Also, there’s likely some quibbling regarding the replacement value since we are in the NL but I’m still on the fence about that alleged disparity.

Positional Adjustment:
C: +10 runs
SS: +7.5 runs
2B/3B/CF: +2.5 runs
LF/RF: -7.5 runs
1B: -12.5 runs
DH: -15 runs

]]> By: cariocacardinal http://www.futureredbirds.net/2009/12/28/chone-2010-future-redbirds-hitters/comment-page-1/#comment-14025 cariocacardinal Tue, 29 Dec 2009 15:51:57 +0000 http://www.futureredbirds.net/?p=4460#comment-14025 For us less educated people could you give us a quick thumbnail how you are calculating WAR so the rest of us can follow along? The way you wrote I thought the WAR was spelled out in the projections. For us less educated people could you give us a quick thumbnail how you are calculating WAR so the rest of us can follow along? The way you wrote I thought the WAR was spelled out in the projections.

]]> By: tom s. http://www.futureredbirds.net/2009/12/28/chone-2010-future-redbirds-hitters/comment-page-1/#comment-14020 tom s. Mon, 28 Dec 2009 21:50:20 +0000 http://www.futureredbirds.net/?p=4460#comment-14020 with jon jay, i'm prone to be pessimistic, but i wonder just how justified that is. while 2009 was (appropriately) a dose of cold water on my expectations, 2009 doesn't mean 2008 didn't happen. 2009 is no less likely to be a fluke than 2008. jay probably needs a little bit of renewed optimism on his career. with jon jay, i’m prone to be pessimistic, but i wonder just how justified that is. while 2009 was (appropriately) a dose of cold water on my expectations, 2009 doesn’t mean 2008 didn’t happen. 2009 is no less likely to be a fluke than 2008. jay probably needs a little bit of renewed optimism on his career.

]]> By: azruavatar http://www.futureredbirds.net/2009/12/28/chone-2010-future-redbirds-hitters/comment-page-1/#comment-14019 azruavatar Mon, 28 Dec 2009 18:47:59 +0000 http://www.futureredbirds.net/?p=4460#comment-14019 No. Probably just didn't get a projection. I'm not certain how Sean decides which minor leaguers to project. No. Probably just didn’t get a projection. I’m not certain how Sean decides which minor leaguers to project.

]]> By: kelley http://www.futureredbirds.net/2009/12/28/chone-2010-future-redbirds-hitters/comment-page-1/#comment-14018 kelley Mon, 28 Dec 2009 18:26:50 +0000 http://www.futureredbirds.net/?p=4460#comment-14018 I looked at the projection page for St. Louis pitchers, and couldn't find Blake King. Has he been traded? I looked at the projection page for St. Louis pitchers, and couldn’t find Blake King. Has he been traded?

]]> By: erik http://www.futureredbirds.net/2009/12/28/chone-2010-future-redbirds-hitters/comment-page-1/#comment-14016 erik Mon, 28 Dec 2009 16:02:25 +0000 http://www.futureredbirds.net/?p=4460#comment-14016 Jay has a pretty interesting projection -- 1.4 WAR per 150, much on the strength of his splendid total zone #'s, no doubt. Jay has a pretty interesting projection — 1.4 WAR per 150, much on the strength of his splendid total zone #’s, no doubt.

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