Normally by this time of year, I’m knee-deep in draft hype. I regret to say I am woefully behind this year, and I really have no excuse with all the great draft coverage out there. To help me catch up, I thought I could look at a couple of recent mock drafts and see what the prognosticators are prognosticating.
Jim Callis gave us his first mock draft. Here’s what he has to say about the Cardinals:
25. CARDINALS: Matt Harvey has turned himself around following a rough sophomore season that dented his draft stock, after he was considered one of the top high school pitchers in the country in 2007, and he could jump on the fast track to St. Louis. He could either bolster the end of the rotation or develop into the closer of the future that the Cardinals currently lack.
Perusing the interwebs, what I’ve learned of Harvey is that he’s battled with mechanical issues but seems to have that ironed out now. I’ve read mixed reviews on his secondary offerings. Some say his 2nd best pitch is his slider, others his change-up. He threw a curve in high school but has since pretty much abandoned it. Almost everyone is in chorus about his command issues. And everyone agrees he can bring the heat, reaching up to 97 with the fastball at times.
Keith Law saw him in person earlier this year and concluded with...:
Ultimately, his best role may be in the pen, where he won’t have to deal with losing velocity (and could easily sit 95-97), he can work with just two pitches, and the lack of command could be mitigated by the quality of his stuff. If he’s drafted as a starter, some player development staff will have a fair amount of work to do to get him to reach his potential in that role.
I’m skeptical the Cardinals are the organization that can help him realize that potential. Here’s a scouting video of Harvey, and I don’t think it’s particularly wise to draft someone who is seen as a future closer. Future closers are usually future middle relievers.
Overall Future Potential: 52
Eh…I have a soft-spot in my heart for players who make up for a lack of offense with Gold Glove defense, but I don’t know. When you’re picking 25th overall, you’re going to get someone with wrinkles. Get a load of the wheels.
Brown definitely has the results the Cardinals like. His schedule/park adjusted wOBA is .521. His slash line is .454/.500/.724! He also has 29 steals in 34 attempts. I do have a gripe about his walk rate; he’s drawn just 8 walks in 213 plate appearances.
S what player do you think can realistically fall to the Cardinals? Who do you want? I think I heart Kyle Parker, but I know that means $$$.