As much as it pains me to link anything written by Jon Heyman, he did happen to put together mock draft worth mentioning. I say worth mentioning because, for all of the things that Heyman says that make me cringe, he does have some sources, and his prediction for the Cardinals is someone we haven’t really discussed before:  West Virginia “shortstop” Jedd Gyorko. I don’t particularly think Gyorko is first round material, but I would not be at all shocked to see the Cardinals draft him in the supplemental round, either with the 46th or 50th overall pick.

His stats are pretty eye-popping.

PA AVG OBP SLG wOBA K% BB% ISO
Raw Totals 286 0.381 0.472 0.750 0.510 8.4% 15.0% 0.369
Park/Sch Adj. 287 0.373 0.467 0.737 0.503 8.0% 15.3% 0.364

via collegesplits.com

While Gyorko has put up some outstanding power numbers for WVU, he isn’t expected to be a major power threat in the majors. Most scouts grade his power tool in the 40-50 range on the 20-80 scale, meaning he should be good for 12-14 homeruns per season. For a shortstop, that would be just fine, but he’s been given the dreaded “bad body” tag by scouts. In other words, he’s sort of a George Costanza looking player on the diamond – Short, slow and stocky (not balding, as far as I can tell). Some think he can play at 3B, but his arm strength isn’t that great, and he might not be quick enough to play at 2B.

He doesn’t have to hit 20-30 homers if he can get on base often enough. Just judging by this year’s numbers  he has a pretty discerning eye at the plate. Scouts’ expectation is that he hits somewhere in the .275-.290 range if he reaches his full potential. If he’s drawing walks and not a total butcher in the infield, that’s not a terrible profile. Here’s the usual YouTubery:

Just do yourself a favor and skip toward the end, there’s a lot of him sitting there taking pitches.

Baseball America ranks him 39th overall in their top 200, Seiler has him 40th, Law has him all the way down at 59th. With 2008 being the “not selling jeans” draft, I could see Gyorko being a player of interest to the Cardinals given his success, particularly if they think he can play second base. It should be noted Gyorko’s also had a lot of success in the Cape this past year.

I’m fine with him in the sandwich round, but I’d be pretty darn unhappy if the Cardinals took him 25th overall.

Fun name, Jedd Gyorko.

Update: A tweet from the good folks at CollegeSplits.com

Scouts are skeptical of Gyorko’s D at short. FWIW, our metric has +4 (regressed) this year, +0 last yr, and +0 at 2b in ’08. #mlbdraft

So maybe scouts are overstating his defensive potential because of his body type. If he’s average to plus now at SS, there’s no reason to believe he can’t be a decent 2B down the road. Ronnie Belliard didn’t have the best body type in the world, either. For his career, Belliard has an UZR/150 of -1. That doesn’t really hurt a team.

8 Responses to “Get to Know a Draft Prospect: Jedd Gyorko”
  1. andrew says:

    Completely agree I will go as far as saying if he’s available at 2 or 3 take him there. We need top end talent in our system. Not saying he won’t hit in the major leagues but his value is his ability to stick at second. Go for some upside and try to steal Garin Cecchini. He’s been hurt awhile and not on many teams radar.

  2. Karmaloop says:

    I would have a hard time passing him up in the supplemental first round. The kid clearly knows how to hit, and if we’ve learned anything from the Brett Wallace pick it is that Mozeliak isn’t afraid to take a bad body kid if he thinks their bat can play at the major league level.

  3. rydeshelby says:

    Unlikely the Cards bother with the likes of Gyorko. West Viriginia U is not Arizona State. Its not the Sun Belt and he swings right. While Wallace could always be moved to 1B, its unclear where Gyorko could fit. Leave him for another team.

  4. Anderw says:

    The only, only reason to get Gyorko is if we are confident he can stick at second.

  5. Shanky says:

    I can see him at pick 50 for instance, but I would absolutely hate it if he’s our guy at 25. I don’t think he fits the profile of the Cards top pick (not a defensive asset, doesn’t profile well athletically). Plus, we already have Descalso in our system, and Gyorko is pretty much a right-handed version.

  6. Gruntosaurus says:

    Well, is a right-handed-hitting Descalso such a bad thing? This just doesn’t look like a strong draft class, and wishing for something better than a right-handed Descalso at the 50th slot may be unrealistic.

  7. Shanky says:

    Gruntosaurus – re-read my message. I’d be satisfied with Gyorko at 50, but not at 25. Seems like a reach. I’d go with a higher ceiling h.s. guy at that slot.

  8. UncleBuck44 says:

    Gyorko would be a great pick at 46 or 50 if you think he can stay at 2B. His bat at 2B would equal a very nice prospect.

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