As I was over the top prospects in the system last night, I was struck by something: the real lack of a power prospect.
Just stop and think about that for a second. Is there anyone in the system that you’d project with 30 HR power? Not me. Colby Rasmus used to fill that void. Brett Wallace filled it for some after Colby. Now 30 HRs is a pretty high threshold. There were only 18 major leaguers to hit 30 HRs last year.
So how about 25 HRs? Or 20? Once you get down to 20 I’d be inclined to start talking about a guy like Steve Hill or maybe Tommy Pham. I wouldn’t include Matt Carpenter there or any of the 4th outfielder types we have (Adron Chambers, Tyler Henley). Even the first base “prospects” like Mark Hamilton don’t strike me as someone I’d want to label with that power. Matt Adams hit 22 bombs in Modern Woodman Park last year; is our best power prospect in low-A? Is Zack Cox someone you want to include in this picture?
The Cardinals have a lot of intriguing pitchers and there are power arms littered throughout the system both as starters and relievers. The majority of the top prospects in the system are pitchers right now. Which all leads back to my original question – who is the Cardinals best power prospect and how many HRs would you project them to hit, on average, in the majors?