The Cardinals prospect, slugging first baseman, Matt Adams has slugged over .520 every stop in 3 years in the Cardinals system. Perhaps, not coincidentally, he skipped the bat-sapping effects of Palm Beach and the Florida State League, starting in Springfield this year after ending last season injured in Quad Cities.
His adjustment to Springfield has had only a small effect on his numbers as he is striking out more so far this young season and walking less compared to his career averages. He has gone from 2/1 K/BB to 4/1. However, more strikeouts and less walks haven’t hurt his overall numbers. Adams wRC+ (which AZ explained last week is Fangraphs stat that is park and league adjusted wOBA) is still 121 where 100 is average. So, Adams is still hitting, including his first career triple this season.
Looking at his batted ball rates, it is not much of a mirage at all. Adams is hitting 22% line drives and only 2.5% pop-ups. It is obvious that he is making good contact. However, with only 22% fly balls and 5 home runs, his shots are leaving the yard at a 15% rate, which is a bit high. His BABIP is .333 which is probably right about level for the minor leagues. Adams’ wOBA according to statcorner is .417 and his Adams’ wOBA adjusted for home park is .397 and his park and batted ball adjusted wOBA is .394. Those numbers make me think that his contact numbers are no fluke this season in AA for the 22 year old.
Looking at his batted ball rates, Adams is even hitting the ball better than last season in Quad Cities in which he had 40 doubles and 21 HRs. Going forward, Matt Adams is a first baseman or a DH that will find his way to the lineup because of his bat. It is encouraging that he skipped a level and continued his quality hitting.