Comments on: Fun with Matt Adams Slugging Pct

By: Felonius_Monk

Felonius_Monk — Fri, 03 Jun 2011 15:27:19 +0000

Why? As far as prospects can, he looks pretty close to his full projection to me. Not convinced he’ll benefit more than anyone else from lots of additional seasoning. Although he needs to lose a few pounds and work on his fielding, admittedly.

By: Felonius_Monk

Felonius_Monk — Fri, 03 Jun 2011 15:22:44 +0000

Have they put prices up 8% or more, though? In which case it won’t change the club’s revenue at all. I wouldn’t know, haven’t seen a game at Busch in years.

By: Felonius_Monk

Felonius_Monk — Fri, 03 Jun 2011 15:18:36 +0000

Panda is a competent (some might actually say good) 3B, though. Quite a sizeable jump from that to a defensively-suspect 1B (probably somewhere between 10 and 20 runs in value, in fact). Sandoval survived a manky 2010 with the bat by providing some value with the glove. Adams won’t have that luxury.

That said, Panda seems to be doing better this year and, hitting-wise, as you say, seems a fair comp.

By: Gruntosaurus

Gruntosaurus — Fri, 03 Jun 2011 15:11:17 +0000

Kevin Goldstein pointed out that Pablo Sandoval is a comparatively good match. He’s certainly the best match I’ve seen, and is both a reason for encouragement (if Panda gets his weight under control and gets back to his 2009 level) and a cautionary tale (you really don’t want Adams’ career to follow the path of Panda’s 2010).

By: mizzcards

mizzcards — Fri, 03 Jun 2011 14:40:01 +0000

The attendance down 8% is thru 31 home games. While the rest of the league is down ruffly 1% across the board.

Regarding Adams,

The STL org needs to see him at Memphis.

By: Mrs. TLR

Mrs. TLR — Fri, 03 Jun 2011 14:17:25 +0000

Hyperventilating about Adams. He’s fine spending this year at AA. Matt can spend 2012 and 2013 at Memphis. He needs to gain experience from lots of minor league at bats.

By: azruavatar

azruavatar — Fri, 03 Jun 2011 13:30:06 +0000

I spent the last couple days looking for a good, recent statistical comparison that met those criteria — couldn’t find anyone. It’s an odd set of skills.

By: Felonius_Monk

Felonius_Monk — Fri, 03 Jun 2011 09:53:19 +0000

I think you kinda said it – Descalso hasn’t really hit well enough for a full-time 3B. I’m as big a dirty dan fanboy as there is, but his bat has been a little disappointing. Hopefully he’s our full-time 2B next year, at least against RHP.

By: Felonius_Monk

Felonius_Monk — Fri, 03 Jun 2011 09:51:43 +0000

Heh. Adams has become about the most contentious prospect I can remember in the Cards’ system.

By: Felonius_Monk

Felonius_Monk — Fri, 03 Jun 2011 09:48:00 +0000

Sorry, mistake – his wRC+ is 164. Translated to the majors that would put him just outside the top 10 in baseball. Although it’s hard to find anyone with a vaguely similar offensive profile in that list. About the closest (high SLG, high BA, low BB%) is Hunter Pence who has a +139 wRC+, but he’s had a crazy high BABIP. Weridly, most of the other close comps in terms of hitting profile are middle-infield types (Rickie Weeks being one). A slower version of Weeks might be quite a decent comp, actually.