Hot or Not: Hitters
Posted on April 18th, 2012 by Jeff in Bryan Anderson, Kolten Wong, Matt Adams, Nick Longmire, Niko VasquezSmall sample size ahoy! Just looking at who was started out of the gates quickly at each affiliate and who has well… not.
(All links are back to Minor League Central and numbers reflect games before 04/15/12.)
Memphis:
Hot: Matthew Adams - 41 PA – 1.183 OPS
Not: Bryan Anderson - 37 PA - .137 OPS
Springfield:
Hot: Kolten Wong - 33 PA - 1.295 OPS
Not: Niko Vasquez - 20 PA - .313 OPS
Palm Beach:
Hot: Chris Edmondson - 33 PA - .787 OPS
Not: Nicholas Longmire - 33 PA - .346 OPS
Quad Cities:
Hot: Juan Castillo - 23 PA - 1.288 OPS
Not: Anthony Garcia - 36 PA - .464 OPS
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also in the “hot” category —- former StL farmhand Alex Castellanos, who is featured in Kevin Goldstein’s blog today:
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=16520
Castellanos was barely on the prospect radar heading into the 2011 season, but he was in the midst of a breakout year at Double-A Springfield, batting .319/.379/.562 in 93 games, which made him a key component in the deal to acquire Rafael Furcal from the Dodgers. He kept on hitting after the trade, and while Albuquerque certainly helps his numbers, a .364/.462/.745 line after 13 games is impressive anywhere, and more importantly, his return to second base from the outfield has been a surprising success with scouts seeing him as potentially average there.
Second base! O_o
One of my best sleeper calls ever, I think. I’m pretty proud of that one.
I don’t know if anyone remembers the Hot or not website from back in the day, but that’s what I was attempting to reference.
I was a 9.7 on that site. I give myself a solid 7.
Yeah, I remember that site. It was one of those things were if you just went by to look at it, you ended up spending at minimum an hour there.
I was wondering today… has there been any research about when numbers begin to “stabilize” for minor league players? For example, Fangraphs’ library says that hitters’ contact rate, strikeout rate, and walk rate “stabilize” at 100, 150, 200 PAs respectively (Link: http://www.fangraphs.com/library/index.php/principles/sample-size/). So… does this same principle hold true for minor league players? We can’t assume that… can we?
No, I don’t believe we can.