Thanks again to Wachto for dropping the link to Keith Law’s next mock draft in the comments of my post yesterday, giving me some fuel for my post this afternoon. Here’s the mock, it is insider only. After the jump, let’s take a look at who he mocks to the Cardinals and the other names he drops that we haven’t covered already.

#19 St. Louis Cardinals
Stryker Trahan, C, Acadiana H.S. (Lafayette, La.)

I think they take Stratton if he gets here. Have heard them on every premium high school bat — including Dahl, Davis, Cecchini and Addison Russell — as well as Piscotty and Hensley. Trahan, who had a poor spring, could be a bargain here since he has a real chance to hit, and with power.

#23 St. Louis Cardinals
Hunter Virant, LHP, Camarillo (Calif.) H.S.

At 6-3 and 172, Virant is very projectable, and looks like the kind of guy who could really add some velocity in pro ball. Rahier is also a possibility here, as well as the names I listed at No. 19.

Old Names:

Stryker TrahanI have touched on Trahan previously here, as has azru here in a longer post.  We are both big fans.

Gavin Cecchini, Stephen Piscotty, DJ DavisAll three were covered in my previous coverage of Keith Law’s initial mock draft.

New Names:

Chris Stratton, RHP, Mississippi State – Kevin Goldstein of Baseball Prospectus has this to say:

Who he is: A polished pitcher with a three-pitch mix, with his low 90s fastball, slider and changeup all earning average-to-plus grades and playing up due to his ability to locate. He’s seen as an is-what-he-is type without much projection, and at nearly 22 years old, his age is an issue.

David Dahl, CF, Oak Mountain H.S. (Birmingham, Ala.) - (Video already sporting the Cardinals jersey.)  Now via ESPN HS Blog:

Dahl brings plenty of other skills to the table as well. He’s got a cannon for an arm (he’s been clocked at 95 mph throwing from the outfield), incredible range in center and is a terror on the basepaths. His total package of skills is similar to that of his favorite player, Boston Red Sox star Jacoby Ellsbury.

Dahl ran an official 60-yard dash time of 6.49 seconds at the Perfect Game National Showcase last June. By comparison, the average major leaguer runs the 60 in around 6.8 seconds.

Ty Hensley, RHP, Edmond (Okla.) Santa Fe H.S. - (Video) And here’s Goldstein again:

Oklahoma has become a hotbed for high school power arms, and Hensley is this year’s version. His six-foot-five power build has drawn comparisons to a young Mark Appel, and his low-to-mid 90s fastball and power curve are both plus offerings. He’s still more of a thrower than a pitcher; he needs to throw more strikes and find a changeup.

Hunter Virant, LHP, Camarillo (Calif.) H.S. - Purple Haze has written about him previously.  Also, here’s the red baron from Viva El Birdos: ”Best name among all the pitchers. Left-handed. Love the delivery. He hasn’t really done much to improve his draft stock this spring, but he’s still my personal favourite.”  Here’s a good video of his mechanics, just needs to sort out his pants and jersey, he looks like he’s in his pajamas going to a slumber party.

Tanner Rahier, SS, Palm Desert (Calif.) H.S. - If you can get past all the ads and terrible music, here’s a video of Rahier running, fielding and hitting. He’s got a good stroke.  Here’s the ESPN HS Blog:

Rahier is a strong-bodied shortstop at 6-foot-2, 205-pounds and seems to be filling out in his frame. In the field he has a very strong, accurate arm and moves very well for his build. … He has a solid line drive approach at the plate with current pull power.

The million-dollar question is if he will be able to stay at shortstop. The bat will play at either short or third base, but it seems that time will tell if he will grow out of short. This past February at the Urban Youth Academy in Compton, Calif., the Scouting Bureau had him slated to work out as a third baseman, so the conversation of a position switch it out there.

Here’s my full preference list (so far):
Stryker Trahan – HS C
Addison Russell – HS SS
Lucas Sims – HS RHP
Hunter Virant – HS LHP
Joey Gallo – HS 1B
Ty Hensley – HS RHP
David Dahl – HS CF
DJ Davis – HS CF
Chris Stratton – College RHP
Richie Shaffer – College 3B
Stephen Piscotty – College 3B
Tanner Rahier – HS SS
Gavin Cecchini – HS SS

What’s yours?

34 Responses to “2012 Draft: Virant, Rahier, Hensley, Stratton, Etc”
  1. Gruntosaurus says:

    I would not be happy with Stratton. There is so much pitching already in this system that another low-ceiling-low-risk college pitcher is simply not what is needed. Maybe as the fifth of the five high choices, but he won’t last that long.

    Dahl and Rahier sound interesting.

    • zuke354 says:

      I would not call Stratton low-ceiling. He has front of the rotation ceiling.

      And I disagree that we have too much pitching in the system. There is no such thing. Relief pitching was supposed to be a strength as well and look at where we are at now.

      • Karmaloop says:

        I don’t know about front of the rotation, he’s more like mid-rotation. He doesn’t have an overpowering fastball, and none of his offspeed stuff are plus to plus-plus pitches.

        • Andrew says:

          His slider is most definately plus.

          • Karmaloop says:

            I mean like borderline plus to plus-plus pitch. I think he’s going to end up scrapping the curve and work on the change and slider solely. His lack of success in HS and his first two years of college make me hesitate. Wouldn’t be the worst pick, but not the best either.

      • Gruntosaurus says:

        I quote Goldstein, whose view of prospects I respect greatly: “He’s seen as an is-what-he-is type without much projection, and at nearly 22 years old, his age is an issue.” That’s not a front-of-the-rotation-ceiling guy.

    • tom s. says:

      stratton – is kyle lohse a good comp?

      • BigJawnMize says:

        No…I have seen Stratton pitch in person. His slider is much better than Loshe breaking pitches.

        This guys is a great athlete that just put it together pitching wise. If he can improve his change-up he is a mid-rotation starter. If he cant the fastball slider combo makes him a good bullpen arm. The question is if 19 is a good spot for that kind of pitcher.

  2. zuke354 says:

    With the new CBA rules, will the cards be able to sign a lot of HS players if they draft them?

    • Jeff says:

      Salary and bonus demands are unique to each player. Most top players will cost. Only College seniors are cheap and there aren’t any of those around these picks.

  3. Cards Fan in Chitown #2 says:

    Question, so we have 5 high picks and I believe like 9.5M or so to spend, can the Cards spend all of it if they only sign 4 of the players. AKA they take two “hard to sign” guys and only sign one of them?

    • tom s. says:

      no. if you fail to sign that draftee, the money designated for the pick gets taken out of your pot. the cardinals have $9.1M they can use, but only if they sign all their picks from 1st round to 10th round.

      now, they could sign someone who signs for less than slot and apportion that money to someone else in the pool. but SOMEONE has to sign for that money to be in the pool.

  4. Andrew says:

    The bonus allotted is for all of the picks. If we don’t sign someone that amount slotted to that pick is taken off of the total we have available. So no. We can’t just sign 2 of 5 for the 9 mil. If we sign two most likely each will still be at slot.

  5. Gruntosaurus says:

    Another mock is in: MLB.com has the Cardinals taking Corey Seager in the 19 slot and Russell at 23. They make Seager (whose brother Kyle plays for Seattle and is looking unexpectedly useful) sound as though he’s very interesting, but possibly a tough sign. Anybody know more about Corey?

  6. Karmaloop says:

    Everything I’ve heard is that the Cardinals are HS bat heavy. Wouldn’t surprise me if we took two in the first round.

  7. VolsnCards5 says:

    Not as high on Dahl as most…questions on whether he sticks in CF long term, and the bat probably won’t okay at the corners.

    I’ve heard 4th outfielder associated with his name too often

  8. VolsnCards5 says:

    And yes, a Trahan, Russell combo would force me to order a number of towels

  9. Karmaloop says:

    Figured I’d pass on a few nuggets I’ve heard. Let me begin by saying them I got them from someone I believe who got them from someone he believes. I’m not one to pass rumors, but figured I’d pass it along for people who are interested in hearing some rumors.

    Baltimore appears locked into Kevin Gausman at this point. Not much likely changes unless Gausman goes off the board earlier. Apparently, they’ve taken Kyle Zimmer off the board (see below) so don’t expect to see him go here.

    Apparently, something came up with Kyle Zimmer in Kansas City and it isn’t believe to be an injury. I can only speculate, but it might be the use of illegal drugs. Again, pure speculation on that part. There is talk now that the Royals are talking to Lance McCullers about a pre-draft deal IF Mark Appel and Kevin Gausman are off the board. The Royals have been locked into arms for a while now, and they’re preference is of the college variety but there might not be a chance to draft one. Barring Byron Buxton inexplicably falling, it’s about 99.9% sure that they’re taking a pitcher.

    Apparently whatever is scaring the Orioles and Royals off isn’t scaring off the Cubs. Zimmer appears to be the favorite should the Cubs pick see him still available. They just worked out Carlos Correa and Max Fried today, so they’re in the mix as is Albert Almora.

    Also, there is talk about San Diego and Lucas Giolito trying to work out a pre-draft deal for the Padres to take him. Apparently he’s angling to go towards a certain team and organizational structure. Apparently the Dodgers, Diamondbacks and Blue Jays are the other teams that Giolito has talked to. Diamondbacks and Dodgers likely don’t have the ability to sign Giolito to the price tag without going into severe tax penalties. Apparently he wants the Padres to pick him BADLY.

    • Jeff says:

      Fear not, I (speaking merely for myself) love rumors. Bring them on, we will take them with a grain of salt and see what happens.

    • Karmaloop says:

      Apparently now some talk that the Cubs are zeroing in on Albert Almora. Now the talk seem to be this as the top six.

      1.HOU – SP Mark Appel/OF Byron Buxton
      2.MIN – OF Byron Buxton/SP Mark Appel
      3.SEA – SS Carlos Correa/C Mike Zunino
      4.BAL – SP Kevin Gausman
      5.KC – SP Lance McCullers Jr.
      6.CHI – OF Albert Almora

      Now if you believe the Giolito/Padres pre-draft deal, that means Zimmer falls into the arms of Pittsburgh.

      • Karmaloop says:

        The first pick is the most likely scenario, but the second player is still in the mix in the cases of Houston, Minnesota, and Seattle.

  10. nmstar says:

    I’d like to see the Cards grab a couple bats out of their top three picks. If Stroman or Stratton is there #19 I would definitely pick them. Otherwise, I’d like to see two of the following Russell/Trahan/Rahier/Seager/Dahl. If they start with two bats, then someone like Pierce Johnson would be a good pick at #36.

    Unless a college pitcher falls to us at 19, I hope the first few picks are weighted with HS players.

  11. Wachto says:

    Now that we have fully absorbed his Mock 2.0, KLaw has posted his Mock 3.0. (Insider article once again)

    http://insider.espn.go.com/mlb/draft/2012/story/_/id/7995717/houston-astros-mark-appel-byron-buxton-lucas-giolito-carlos-correa-kevin-gausman-no-1-pick-latest-mock-draft-mlb

    19. St. Louis Cardinals
    Addison Russell, SS, Pace (Fla.) H.S.

    Russell is one of the best athletes in the draft with a real chance to stick at short. St. Louis is on most of the same names as Toronto, with more emphasis on bats. (Those names were Smoral, Cecchini, Dahl, prep catcher Stryker Trahan, Giolito, and McCullers)

    23. St. Louis Cardinals
    Marcus Stroman, RHP, Duke

    I haven’t heard him strongly connected to too many teams, even though everyone raves about his stuff. In addition to the bats from pick No. 19, they’re linked to prep lefty Hunter Virant here.

    Stay tuned…he promises one more Mock on Monday morning before the festivities commence.

  12. Matt says:

    I’d love to get one HS arm and one HS bat. Smoral at 19 and Trahan at 23.

    Also, anyone want to speculate on a projected early-to-mid 1st rounder that may drop to us? Perhaps I am misremembering, but I feel like we snagged Wallace, Cox, and Miller all a bit after they were projected.

    I for one would love to see Hawkins or especially Almora fall to us.

  13. Uncle Randy says:

    Basically all of these scenarios are exciting, and as long as they don’t take a college bat in the first round (I’m looking at you Richie Schaeffer), I am pretty much delighted by these mocks. I live in Chapel Hill and have seen Stroman–he’s filthy.

    One college bat I WOULD be interested in in the supplemental round is Victor Roache. Pre-season people were talking about him going in the top 5, but he broke something on his arm (wrist maybe?) and his stock plummeted. If he’s OK, I’d be stoked to get him later on.

  14.  
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