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	<title>Comments on: Cardinals and James Ramsey Agree for $1.6 Million</title>
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	<link>http://www.futureredbirds.net/2012/06/25/cardinals-and-james-ramsey-agree-for-1-6-million/</link>
	<description>Baseball&#039;s Future in the Gateway City</description>
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		<title>By: Richard</title>
		<link>http://www.futureredbirds.net/2012/06/25/cardinals-and-james-ramsey-agree-for-1-6-million/comment-page-1/#comment-74278</link>
		<dc:creator>Richard</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 29 Jun 2012 01:04:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.futureredbirds.net/?p=9642#comment-74278</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Indeed.  I believe the trick is looking at the right college stats.

Raph Rhymes, for instance, doesn&#039;t walk enough and has quite poor isolated power.  Virtually his entire offensive value comes from his batting average (in other words, he&#039;s Shane Robinson junior).  There&#039;s no way he keeps up his AVG in higher levels of ball, and unless he can hit over .300, he won&#039;t have much value in MLB.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Indeed.  I believe the trick is looking at the right college stats.</p>
<p>Raph Rhymes, for instance, doesn&#8217;t walk enough and has quite poor isolated power.  Virtually his entire offensive value comes from his batting average (in other words, he&#8217;s Shane Robinson junior).  There&#8217;s no way he keeps up his AVG in higher levels of ball, and unless he can hit over .300, he won&#8217;t have much value in MLB.</p>
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		<title>By: Richard</title>
		<link>http://www.futureredbirds.net/2012/06/25/cardinals-and-james-ramsey-agree-for-1-6-million/comment-page-1/#comment-74276</link>
		<dc:creator>Richard</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 29 Jun 2012 00:53:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.futureredbirds.net/?p=9642#comment-74276</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Sorry, I&#039;m not religious, and I&#039;m not a big believer in blind faith.  If you had research to back up your faith, you could sway me, but all the research I&#039;ve seen have shown that college picks produce (slightly) more WAR on average than HS players.  This is especially true outside of the top 15 overall picks, where pretty much all of the big-time toolsy high-ceiling&amp;high-floor prospects are picked up.

I know that the Tampa Rays (at least early in their organization) were very big on tools, and of their 13 1st rounders through 2009, 8 were high schoolers, yet 2 of their college 1st rounders with insane college stats (Evan Longoria and David Price; Longoria also destroyed the Cape Cod league) have produced almost double the WAR for the Rays as all their high school 1st rounders combined (Josh Hamilton is a stud now, but the Rays got absolutely 0 value out of their investment in him; seems that the character &amp; maturity that fans who focus on tools tend to pooh-pooh do matter a little after all).]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Sorry, I&#8217;m not religious, and I&#8217;m not a big believer in blind faith.  If you had research to back up your faith, you could sway me, but all the research I&#8217;ve seen have shown that college picks produce (slightly) more WAR on average than HS players.  This is especially true outside of the top 15 overall picks, where pretty much all of the big-time toolsy high-ceiling&amp;high-floor prospects are picked up.</p>
<p>I know that the Tampa Rays (at least early in their organization) were very big on tools, and of their 13 1st rounders through 2009, 8 were high schoolers, yet 2 of their college 1st rounders with insane college stats (Evan Longoria and David Price; Longoria also destroyed the Cape Cod league) have produced almost double the WAR for the Rays as all their high school 1st rounders combined (Josh Hamilton is a stud now, but the Rays got absolutely 0 value out of their investment in him; seems that the character &amp; maturity that fans who focus on tools tend to pooh-pooh do matter a little after all).</p>
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		<title>By: Richard</title>
		<link>http://www.futureredbirds.net/2012/06/25/cardinals-and-james-ramsey-agree-for-1-6-million/comment-page-1/#comment-74267</link>
		<dc:creator>Richard</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 29 Jun 2012 00:26:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.futureredbirds.net/?p=9642#comment-74267</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[1. They&#039;ve taken plenty of college players.  Over 80% of the time every year, in fact, and the majority of the time with their first and second round picks ever since their current philosophy started when Luhnow took over. People keep bring up that James Ramsey is a senior, but that&#039;s not terribly relevant (IMHO) considering that he mashed in his age-21 year as well.  To give an example, JD Drew didn&#039;t suddenly because a less desirable or less talented player after his one year in independent ball.

2. Zack Cox was age-21 when taken, and age matters more than school year.  I agree that Kolton Wong was young. 

3. Since Luhnow took over, Brett Wallace, Lance Lynn, Chris Perez &amp; Jon Jay have been taken with 1st or 2nd round picks (Tyler Greene as well).  All college guys.  All contributors at the major league-level.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>1. They&#8217;ve taken plenty of college players.  Over 80% of the time every year, in fact, and the majority of the time with their first and second round picks ever since their current philosophy started when Luhnow took over. People keep bring up that James Ramsey is a senior, but that&#8217;s not terribly relevant (IMHO) considering that he mashed in his age-21 year as well.  To give an example, JD Drew didn&#8217;t suddenly because a less desirable or less talented player after his one year in independent ball.</p>
<p>2. Zack Cox was age-21 when taken, and age matters more than school year.  I agree that Kolton Wong was young. </p>
<p>3. Since Luhnow took over, Brett Wallace, Lance Lynn, Chris Perez &amp; Jon Jay have been taken with 1st or 2nd round picks (Tyler Greene as well).  All college guys.  All contributors at the major league-level.</p>
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		<title>By: Richard</title>
		<link>http://www.futureredbirds.net/2012/06/25/cardinals-and-james-ramsey-agree-for-1-6-million/comment-page-1/#comment-74263</link>
		<dc:creator>Richard</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 29 Jun 2012 00:12:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.futureredbirds.net/?p=9642#comment-74263</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Sure, so compare Ramsey&#039;s age-21 ISO and walk rate with with Jacoby Ellsbury&#039;s, Jon Jay&#039;s, or Zack Cox&#039;s age-21 ISO and walk rate.

This isn&#039;t rocket science.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Sure, so compare Ramsey&#8217;s age-21 ISO and walk rate with with Jacoby Ellsbury&#8217;s, Jon Jay&#8217;s, or Zack Cox&#8217;s age-21 ISO and walk rate.</p>
<p>This isn&#8217;t rocket science.</p>
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		<title>By: roarke</title>
		<link>http://www.futureredbirds.net/2012/06/25/cardinals-and-james-ramsey-agree-for-1-6-million/comment-page-1/#comment-74158</link>
		<dc:creator>roarke</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 28 Jun 2012 17:56:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.futureredbirds.net/?p=9642#comment-74158</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Richard:

I don&#039;t disagree with you - the blind bitching (which some people enjoy for some reason) is just as boring as the blind trust in the FO.  Personally, I try and add some rationale to my position because I enjoy real debate.

And I suppose stating that no one else was going to take Ramsay in the first round is a little silly because that is something that is impossible to know.  I suppose the better point is that I haven&#039;t seen or heard anyone talking about him as though he was a possible pick in the first round.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Richard:</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t disagree with you &#8211; the blind bitching (which some people enjoy for some reason) is just as boring as the blind trust in the FO.  Personally, I try and add some rationale to my position because I enjoy real debate.</p>
<p>And I suppose stating that no one else was going to take Ramsay in the first round is a little silly because that is something that is impossible to know.  I suppose the better point is that I haven&#8217;t seen or heard anyone talking about him as though he was a possible pick in the first round.</p>
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		<title>By: bc</title>
		<link>http://www.futureredbirds.net/2012/06/25/cardinals-and-james-ramsey-agree-for-1-6-million/comment-page-1/#comment-74137</link>
		<dc:creator>bc</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 28 Jun 2012 15:09:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.futureredbirds.net/?p=9642#comment-74137</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[What &quot;exact same strategy&quot; are you talking about?  When have the Cards taken old, college seniors in the 1st or Supp. round?  

The very best prospects in the Cards system are former high school guys with big-time tools (Shelby Miller, Tyrell Jenkins) and international FAs signed young (Martinez, Taveras).  Moreover, by far the best prospect the Cards have produced under their recent &quot;track record&quot; is a late first-round HS guy with big tools - Colby Rasmus.  The evidence to rebut your points (which are irrelevant anyway) is staring you in the face.  

Even the college guys are not like Ramsey - Wong was very, very young for a college player, Cox and Swagerty were draft-eligible sophmores.

You keep mentioning guys like Allen Craig or Matt Carpenter - but these guys weren&#039;t early round picks - Craig was an 8th Rd pick and Carp was a 13th Rd pick.  These guys prove my point, not yours.  The point isn&#039;t that Ramsey was drafted at all, it&#039;s that he was drafted at #23 in the 1st round and given a close-to-slot bonus.

So all you&#039;re left with is a worthless appeal to authority in the face of contradictory evidence.  

Hopefully Ramsey ends up being a great player; but you have no more evidence of that than I do or anyone else does at this point.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>What &#8220;exact same strategy&#8221; are you talking about?  When have the Cards taken old, college seniors in the 1st or Supp. round?  </p>
<p>The very best prospects in the Cards system are former high school guys with big-time tools (Shelby Miller, Tyrell Jenkins) and international FAs signed young (Martinez, Taveras).  Moreover, by far the best prospect the Cards have produced under their recent &#8220;track record&#8221; is a late first-round HS guy with big tools &#8211; Colby Rasmus.  The evidence to rebut your points (which are irrelevant anyway) is staring you in the face.  </p>
<p>Even the college guys are not like Ramsey &#8211; Wong was very, very young for a college player, Cox and Swagerty were draft-eligible sophmores.</p>
<p>You keep mentioning guys like Allen Craig or Matt Carpenter &#8211; but these guys weren&#8217;t early round picks &#8211; Craig was an 8th Rd pick and Carp was a 13th Rd pick.  These guys prove my point, not yours.  The point isn&#8217;t that Ramsey was drafted at all, it&#8217;s that he was drafted at #23 in the 1st round and given a close-to-slot bonus.</p>
<p>So all you&#8217;re left with is a worthless appeal to authority in the face of contradictory evidence.  </p>
<p>Hopefully Ramsey ends up being a great player; but you have no more evidence of that than I do or anyone else does at this point.</p>
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		<title>By: Vision</title>
		<link>http://www.futureredbirds.net/2012/06/25/cardinals-and-james-ramsey-agree-for-1-6-million/comment-page-1/#comment-74135</link>
		<dc:creator>Vision</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 28 Jun 2012 14:18:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.futureredbirds.net/?p=9642#comment-74135</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Tools matter so much more than college stats.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Tools matter so much more than college stats.</p>
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		<title>By: Vision</title>
		<link>http://www.futureredbirds.net/2012/06/25/cardinals-and-james-ramsey-agree-for-1-6-million/comment-page-1/#comment-74134</link>
		<dc:creator>Vision</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 28 Jun 2012 14:14:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.futureredbirds.net/?p=9642#comment-74134</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[How so? These college numbers are simply not believable to me.

We have scores of data showing that Springfield is a hitters paradise and hitter after hitter comes through there and has his best power years there. 

I&#039;ll take the word of players/coaches/scouts over the word of Boyd&#039;s World telling me that Hammons Field is a pitchers park, and Florida State has a neutral field.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>How so? These college numbers are simply not believable to me.</p>
<p>We have scores of data showing that Springfield is a hitters paradise and hitter after hitter comes through there and has his best power years there. </p>
<p>I&#8217;ll take the word of players/coaches/scouts over the word of Boyd&#8217;s World telling me that Hammons Field is a pitchers park, and Florida State has a neutral field.</p>
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		<title>By: Vision</title>
		<link>http://www.futureredbirds.net/2012/06/25/cardinals-and-james-ramsey-agree-for-1-6-million/comment-page-1/#comment-74133</link>
		<dc:creator>Vision</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 28 Jun 2012 14:12:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.futureredbirds.net/?p=9642#comment-74133</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Not to the same level...being older MATTERS.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Not to the same level&#8230;being older MATTERS.</p>
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		<title>By: Andrew</title>
		<link>http://www.futureredbirds.net/2012/06/25/cardinals-and-james-ramsey-agree-for-1-6-million/comment-page-1/#comment-74117</link>
		<dc:creator>Andrew</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 28 Jun 2012 06:07:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.futureredbirds.net/?p=9642#comment-74117</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Some production doesn&#039;t translate from college to pros. LSU&#039;s Rafi Rhymes hit about .470 this year for LSU and was drafted in the 22nd round I believe because he doesn&#039;t have the physical tools to hit that well against better competion.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Some production doesn&#8217;t translate from college to pros. LSU&#8217;s Rafi Rhymes hit about .470 this year for LSU and was drafted in the 22nd round I believe because he doesn&#8217;t have the physical tools to hit that well against better competion.</p>
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