Posts Tagged “Mark DeRosa Trade”

As Joe Strauss so aptly twittered, it’s been a brutal week for the HPGF. (Hyperventilating Prospect Geek Fraternity). That’s now four of last year’s top ten prospects that have gone to other teams. Mozeliak has razed the system in hopes of fending off Chicago and Milwaukee (and I guess Houston). But considering how crummy the bullpen has looked as of late, this hurts, not just for the future, but now. After seeing the ‘pen recently get torched, Todd probably would have been the next one up.

Let’s do the whole surplus value thing.

Chris Perez was a top 76-100 pitcher last year, meaning his surplus value is $8.7M.  Jess Todd was given a B grade by John Sickels. B grade pitchers historically have averaged $6.5 million in value. That’s a total of $15.2 million of assets headed to Cleveland for a few months of DeRo. After some hand wringing about his wrist, he seems fine, hitting 4 homers over the last few days. DeRosa is worth about a win over the rest of the season, and about a 7% increase in playoff expectancy. Figuring his salary ($2.3M), what he adds in terms of wins ($4.5M), and Type B free agent compensation ($2.5) and the help he adds in possibly reaching the playoffs….

$15 M to CLE, $7M to STL. More paying out of the wha-zoo for rentals.

That said, Perez has that spotty control and may never pan out. He has been nails in low leverage situations since getting a rudely greeting to the AL. I have this weird thing with Todd. Having seen him pitch, I was less than impressed, but it’s really hard to argue with the results. He might end up being better than Perez when it’s all said and done, as he has pitchability and control that Perez definitely doesn’t have yet.

My poor faberge eggs. Win, Cardinals, win.