Posts Tagged “Matt Adams”

One of the things that those who follow the Cardinals’ farm system right now have to struggle with is that the two top hitting prospects, Matt Adams and Oscar Taveras, have a very similar hitting profile but one that isn’t found among many elite players. This concern, the dearth of walks, has been a common refrain here and it’s a legitimate concern but it’s also one that we’ll simply have to adapt to.

I’ve made comparisons for Matt Adams before based on his statistical profile and while Taveras differs in his defensive capabilities, offensively, he’s not that far off from Adams.  Both players hit for elite levels of power, make consistent contact with moderate strikeout rates and don’t walk much. But what exactly does that last piece look like in the majors?

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This is the consolidated top 20 list rolled out last week.

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The Cardinals are sending 7 players to the Arizona Fall League this fall (which is also known as “Prospect Finishing School”:

1B Matt Adams

OF Oscar Taveras (will be second youngest player in the league)

SS Ryan Jackson

RHP Keith Butler

LHP Justin Wright

RHP David Kopp

LHP Tyler Lyons

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Last night Matt Adams pelted his 29th and 30th homeruns to first tie and then exceed the record set by Colby Rasmus in 2007.  I’ve written about Adams with some frequency here and I think it’s safe to say that he’s a controversial prospect among readers.

Adams jumped two levels from a full year in Quad Cities to spend the full season in Springfield.  Admittedly, Springfield is a hitter’s park in a hitter’s league but there’s little argument that Adams is having a heck of a year.  With 30 HRs and an ISO hovering near .300, Adams is a legitimate first base prospect — probably the best one the Cardinals have had since Albert Pujols.

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The St. Louis Cardinals have upgraded their farm system in a major way the past two seasons.  Just last year Baseball America ranked their club 29th out of all 30 major league teams.  They received a relatively small bump up to being ranked 24th earlier this season after the Cardinals drafted Zack Cox, Tyrell Jenkins, and saw the beginning of the rise of a now highly touted prospect by the name of Carlos Martinez.  In 2012, it’s entirely possible that the Cardinals will receive a consensus Top 10 ranking.

Below is an updated depth chart for the top position player in the Cardinals system for each respective position.  Due to length, I’ve broken it down into two parts, the second of which will be posted tomorrow.  For each player, a breakdown of their skills is included in addition to other information and statistics that I found interesting in their stance with the big club and their current league.

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With the start of short season ball clubs, the Cardinals aren’t necessarily in a hurry to make midseason promotions.  The club hasn’t been shy about moving top performers though including Carlos Martinez’s promotion to Palm Beach that was announced yesterday. Here’s a list of candidates who also look like they’re ready to make the leap to the next level.

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The Pujols negotiations are, well, pretty boring. If you are like me, you’re sick of hearing about aimless speculation about what will happen next. So lets speculate less aimlessly, if you will, about the future at first base without Five. We’ve got a few options. One, Matt Adams, may be a little far away, but that could change with an incredibly important, and what I cautiously see as a difficult, year for him in 2011. The other two are Mark Hamilton, and Allen Craig, viable mid-20′s players that could provide what most teams want from the corners — a hitter — one being more practical than the other. Let me explain…

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Another thought experiment for the end of the year 2010, this one a bit darker and one I hope never comes to fruition.  If the Cardinals do not re-sign Albert Pujols at 1B, will they be able to replace him internally from the farm system?  (Odds are that the Cardinals WILL re-sign Albert, but it does not hurt to take a look at our 1B depth just in case.)

The First basemen in the Cardinals system have been blocked by Pujols ever since he moved from 3B to LF to 1B and stayed there.  Pujols has been a full-time first baseman since 2004 and any prospect that was reaching the minor leagues’ ceiling as first base needed to be moved for a player at another position.  (See Wallace, Brett who will be a permanent 1B in the majors.)  That being said, what do the Cardinals have left in the minors at first base?  The great thing about first base is that it can be played by any slugging player that does not quite have a position and the Cardinals have a few of those as well.

Obviously, no one in the universe is going to replace Pujols’ production, so we can only look at the internal candidates to replace him at 1B and how well they will do.

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Lookin’ at a whole lot of ‘meh’. Kyle Conley posted some video game numbers, putting himself on the prospect map. Maybe not a whole lot to hyperventilate over after that. Matt Adams carried over his brilliance from Johnson City. Decent performance by Ryde Rodriguez, but he was demoted from the QC and his BB/K rate is rather troubling. Ryan Jackson was more of an all-glove, no-hit shortstop than I would have hoped for.

Niko Vasquez…sigh.

Rk Age PA R SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS TB
1 Kyle Conley 124 21 2 3 13 20 .385 .452 .752 1.204 82
2 Matt Carpenter 23 37 9 0 1 4 2 .469 .541 .563 1.103 18
3 Matthew Adams 20 142 16 0 0 11 21 .346 .394 .523 .917 68
4 Ryde Rodriguez 21 174 18 1 0 6 34 .311 .339 .473 .812 79
5 Alan Ahmady 21 296 46 2 3 47 52 .292 .407 .391 .798 95
6 Xavier Scruggs 21 171 21 1 1 21 48 .234 .345 .428 .773 62
7 D’ Marcus Ingram 21 158 19 18 2 17 20 .290 .372 .384 .756 53
8 Jack Cawley 23 36 5 1 0 6 5 .300 .417 .333 .750 10
9 Devin Goodwin 22 239 31 2 2 25 36 .239 .316 .383 .699 80
10 Hector Alvarez 22 5 0 0 0 1 2 .250 .400 .250 .650 1
11 Jonathan Edwards 21 119 11 1 0 5 46 .232 .269 .339 .608 38
12 Nico Vasquez 20 279 19 1 1 26 56 .209 .283 .293 .576 73
13 Luis De La Cruz 20 171 20 4 2 10 28 .220 .275 .283 .558 45
14 Edwin Gomez 21 9 0 0 0 0 3 .222 .222 .333 .556 3
15 Michael Swinson 19 108 13 4 1 11 24 .196 .279 .272 .551 25
16 Ivan Castro 21 153 20 1 0 8 36 .207 .248 .297 .545 43
17 Ryan Jackson 21 283 29 4 3 29 37 .216 .297 .241 .538 59
18 Beau Riportella 20 134 16 6 1 12 28 .191 .269 .252 .521 29
19 Jairo Martinez 22 105 11 1 0 6 33 .177 .229 .240 .468 23
20 Travis Mitchell 21 63 4 3 2 4 21 .155 .206 .172 .379 10
21 Guillermo Toribio 22 46 4 0 2 2 12 .159 .196 .182 .377 8
23 Players 20.9 2852 333 52 24 264 564 .249 .321 .357 .678 904
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 9/8/2009.

League average batting line is pretty soft for the NYPL — .245/.320/.345. Keep this in mind when we look at the pitcher’s next.

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Quick announcement: I’ll be on UCB Radio tonight at 9:30 to talk all things draft.

Here’s some quick snap shots of who the Cardinals took on Day 2
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